Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.229073 0.271104 0.315993 0.367224 0.423797 0.484099 0.552966
2024-10-20 0.168643 0.224240 0.288035 0.365533 0.456037 0.557347 0.678282
2024-10-27 0.131388 0.195436 0.273987 0.374762 0.498033 0.641485 0.818593
2024-11-03 0.104598 0.173797 0.264220 0.386076 0.541203 0.727637 0.964130
2024-11-10 0.084034 0.156015 0.256026 0.397029 0.582970 0.812671 1.110698
2024-11-17 0.063157 0.133194 0.237327 0.391272 0.601630 0.868597 1.222537
2024-11-24 0.049862 0.118858 0.228067 0.396370 0.633369 0.940897 1.355768
2024-12-01 0.037189 0.102259 0.212712 0.390619 0.648993 0.991787 1.462209
2024-12-08 0.025908 0.084705 0.192868 0.375671 0.649900 1.022091 1.541706
2024-12-15 0.020581 0.077468 0.188830 0.383805 0.683107 1.095800 1.678773
2024-12-22 0.014497 0.066128 0.175651 0.375918 0.691906 1.135733 1.771244
2024-12-29 0.012283 0.063695 0.178440 0.393841 0.739259 1.229649 1.937305
2025-01-05 0.008831 0.056293 0.170748 0.394012 0.760404 1.288453 2.058723
2025-01-12 0.006317 0.050255 0.164732 0.396343 0.784647 1.351987 2.187645
2025-01-19 0.004889 0.047171 0.164472 0.408635 0.824683 1.438821 2.349946
2025-01-26 0.003800 0.044656 0.165020 0.422209 0.866937 1.529455 2.518659
2025-02-02 0.002890 0.042149 0.165138 0.434821 0.907839 1.618721 2.686611
2025-02-09 0.001704 0.036372 0.156133 0.429287 0.918662 1.663682 2.792816
2025-02-16 0.001105 0.033234 0.153188 0.435076 0.948085 1.736485 2.939054
2025-02-23 0.000543 0.028496 0.144791 0.429166 0.957371 1.779003 3.042534
2025-03-02 0.000166 0.022901 0.132235 0.413358 0.948751 1.793801 3.106067
2025-03-09 0.000077 0.021267 0.131434 0.422112 0.982692 1.873907 3.264492
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.017685 0.123111 0.413746 0.986038 1.906706 3.354471